Identity Investment & Risk Report 2026

Investment Is Rising.
Outcomes Are Uneven.

A new era of autonomous AI is rewriting the rules of identity security — but most enterprises are still playing by the old ones.

400Security leaders surveyed
February 2026Wakefield Research
CISOs, Security & IT Execs1,000+ employee orgs
78%
experienced a risk incident related to non-human identities in the past 12 months
Either an incident with real operational impact, or a near-miss that was contained — the threat is no longer theoretical.
64%
call NHI security an immediate or high priority
76%
say concern has grown vs. last year
22%
have fully implemented an agentic AI identity strategy
The Signal

Identity Is Now the Frontline of Agentic AI Risk

As autonomous systems embed across the enterprise, machine-driven identities are multiplying — and so is the attack surface. Security leaders are responding with urgency. But investment is not outcome.

The message from the boardroom is clear: non-human identities are a priority. As AI agents become embedded in everyday workflows — orchestrating tasks, accessing data, acting on behalf of users — the identity perimeter has fundamentally changed.

Three in four security leaders report their concern about NHI-related threats has risen in the past year. Nearly two-thirds classify investment in this space as an immediate or high priority.

But investment alone isn't closing the gap. Structural weaknesses in governance, visibility, and execution are limiting impact where it matters most.

"The rise of agentic AI signals both progress and pressure for enterprise security. Without radically rethinking identity infrastructure, the disconnect between investment and impact will persist."

— Jim Alkove, Co-founder & CEO, Oleria
Investment Urgency
64%
Immediate or
High Priority
13% Immediate priority
51% High priority
31% Medium priority
5% Low / not a priority
Concern Level vs. 12 Months Ago
    Risk Profile

    AI Agents Top the Identity Risk Hierarchy

    For the first time, non-human actors — not privileged users — are the identity types security leaders fear most.

    Identity Types Representing Greatest Governance & Security Risk

      When asked which identity types pose the greatest governance and security risk, AI agents topped the list by a significant margin — cited by 61% of leaders. API keys/tokens (42%) and Bots/RPA identities (42%) followed closely.

      This marks a fundamental shift in the enterprise threat landscape. AI agents represent a new class of identity that most governance frameworks were never designed to manage.

      61%
      name AI agents the #1 risk identity type
      42%
      cite API keys / tokens as high risk
      01
      Finding 01

      Confidence Is Constrained by Capability

      Leaders feel prepared. The data tells a different story.

      Ask most security leaders whether they can detect a rogue AI agent, and they'll say yes. Ask whether they have the infrastructure to back that up, and the answer gets complicated.

      93% express at least some confidence in detecting anomalous identity behavior from agentic AI. But confidence is not capability — and the incident data makes the gap visible.

      Confidence without operational capability creates the most dangerous kind of false security — the kind that prevents organizations from taking the steps they actually need.

      Nearly four in five security leaders report their organization has experienced a risk event related to non-human identities in the past 12 months. These aren't edge cases.

      Confidence in Detecting Anomalous Agentic AI Behavior
      36%
      Very
      Confident
      36% Very confident
      57% Somewhat confident
      6% Not too confident
      1% Not at all
      78%
      have experienced a security incident or near-miss involving non-human identities in the past 12 months
      16% with real operational impact  ·  62% a near-miss that was contained — this time
      Security Incidents Involving NHIs (Past 12 Months)
      78%
      Risk Event
      16% Incident with impact
      62% Near-miss, contained
      17% Not aware of
      5% No incident

      The Strategy Gap

      Only 22% of leaders have fully implemented an identity security strategy designed for environments where AI agents autonomously request, create, or use identities and permissions. Nearly 4 in 10 are still exploring. The intent is there. The execution is not.

      Agentic AI Identity Strategy Readiness
        The Behavioral Data Gap

        Access decisions are backward-looking by design

        Only 10% of leaders say access decisions are always based on actual usage, behavior, or contextual risk. 62% rely on behavioral data only "sometimes" or "rarely."

        In a world where AI agents operate at machine speed, access decisions rooted in last quarter's role assignments create exactly the permission gaps that attackers — and misbehaving agents — exploit.

        10%
        always use behavioral or usage data to inform access decisions
        How Often Access Decisions Use Behavioral Data
          02
          Finding 02

          Fragmentation Weakens Identity Oversight

          Identity is the enforcement layer — but when it's splintered, enforcement fails.

          Identity should function as a unified control plane. In practice, it's a patchwork — different tools, owners, and processes operating without a shared view of risk.

          The top barrier isn't budget, talent, or technology maturity. It's tool fragmentation across security and IAM teams — named by nearly half of all leaders as their single biggest obstacle.

          Tool fragmentation doesn't just create operational headaches. It creates attack surfaces — gaps that AI agents can cross at machine speed, without triggering any alarm.

          46%
          cite tool fragmentation across security and IAM teams as their #1 obstacle
          Followed by decentralized app adoption (43%) and legacy debt (35%)
          Biggest Obstacles to Improving Identity Governance Effectiveness

            Platform Sprawl Creates Blind Spots at Scale

            43% are governing 6–10 distinct identity applications today — each with its own data model, each a potential blind spot for AI agent privilege misuse.

            43% also say business units adopt applications without centralized oversight. Identities are being created and granted access in systems security teams may not even know exist.

            When business units operate outside the identity perimeter, every new application becomes a potential unmonitored attack surface for AI-driven exploitation.

            Distinct Identity Platforms Actively Governed & Monitored
              43%
              govern 6–10 identity platforms — each a potential visibility gap for AI agent misuse
              03
              Finding 03

              Governance Agility Lags Behind AI Adoption

              Legacy IGA was built for humans. The agentic era demands something fundamentally different.

              IGA frameworks were designed around a core assumption: identities belong to people. Access reviews happen quarterly. Policy changes take weeks. In a world where AI agents can request, create, and use identities at machine speed, every assumption becomes a liability.

              AI agents don't wait for the quarterly access review. Governance that takes months to update creates exactly the window attackers — and misbehaving agents — exploit.

              7%
              can implement or update IGA controls same day or within days
              75% take weeks or months  ·  2% say it's never fully complete
              Time to Implement or Meaningfully Update IGA Controls

                Tools Built for Humans, Applied to Machines

                52% say current tools are less effective for NHIs than for human identities — either slightly (38%) or significantly (14%). The tools aren't broken; they were built for a different era.

                52%
                say tools less effective for NHIs than humans
                34%
                say compliance requirements drive manual identity processes
                NHI vs. Human Identity Governance Effectiveness
                52%
                Less effective
                for NHIs
                47% Equally effective
                38% Slightly less
                14% Much less
                2% Not designed for NHIs
                The Compliance Trap

                Checkbox reviews are not security

                34% of leaders confirm compliance requirements are driving manual identity processes. When access reviews exist to satisfy auditors rather than enforce least privilege, they become security theater — contributing to rubber-stamp reviews and bloated permission sets.

                Compliance-driven processes don't just slow teams down — they actively work against the adaptive, behavioral governance needed to manage AI agents in real time.

                Top Concerns — Agentic AI & Identity
                42%
                AI agents escalating privileges without detection
                42%
                Existing controls don't apply cleanly to AI agents
                42%
                Excessive data access by AI agents
                38%
                Difficulty attributing behavior to a specific actor
                The Path Forward

                Identity Must Be Rebuilt for the Agentic Era

                The gap between investment and impact won't close on its own. Three foundational shifts are required.

                Investment is real. Urgency is real. But the underlying infrastructure was built for a different era. Identity security designed for human users, quarterly reviews, and static role assignments cannot protect against autonomous AI agents operating at machine speed across multiple systems.

                01
                From Confidence to Capability
                Organizations need behavioral analytics, real-time anomaly detection, and identity strategies explicitly designed for environments where AI agents are first-class actors — not afterthoughts in a human-first framework.
                02
                From Fragmented to Federated
                Consolidating visibility — even without consolidating tools — gives security teams the unified view needed to enforce governance across human and non-human identities at the speed and scale of AI adoption.
                03
                From Reactive to Adaptive
                Governance needs to move at the speed of AI — with automated controls, continuous access reviews, and dynamic policy enforcement that doesn't require a human in every loop.
                Ready to close the gap?
                See how Oleria gives you the visibility, governance, and speed to secure every identity — human or not.
                Related Resources

                Insights for Identity-Driven Enterprises

                Guide
                Managing Identity in the Age of AI
                Get the guidance you need to prioritize investments and allocate resources to best manage identity-related risk in an AI-fueled world.
                Learn more →
                Guide
                Securing Non-Human Identities
                The proliferation of NHIs presents a tremendous blind spot — and conventional tools can't keep up. Learn what it takes to get ahead of the risk curve.
                Learn more →
                Guide
                Secure M365 Copilot: Prevent Overprivileged Access
                95% of access permissions go unused — until your AI assistant finds them. Learn how to secure M365 Copilot without sacrificing productivity.
                Learn more →
                Research Methodology

                The Securing the Agentic Enterprise: Identity Investment and Risk Report was conducted by Wakefield Research among 400 U.S. Identity Security and Management Leaders at organizations with a minimum of 1,000 employees. Qualifying respondents included CISOs, Security Executives (Director+), and IT Executives (VP+) with responsibility for identity access management, security, governance, or compliance. The survey was conducted between February 2–14, 2026, using an email invitation and online survey. Function quotas: CISO (n=100), Security Executives (n=150), IT Executives (n=150). Margin of error: ±4.9 percentage points at the 95% confidence level for the total sample.